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JPM-JPM Mining Daily Iron Ore 百分之0.7, Zinc 百分之3.4...-20251127

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摘要原文摘录

10-day China steel production -2% vs previous (-13% YoY); we arrive at the seasonaltrough for steel production

研究对象钢铁
发布机构摩根大通
分析师Lyndon Fagan,Milan Tomic,Devwrat Vegad
发布日期2025-11-27
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10-day China steel production -2% vs previous (-13% YoY); we arrive at the seasonaltrough for steel production

10-day China steel output 843Mt annualised, -2%% vs previous: latest China daily crudesteel output (10 days to 20 th Nov) is -2% vs previous but -13% YoY. The past 10-day periodis another continuation of accelerated deceleration of steel output in China into year-end.China steel rebar and HRC prices continue to remain at YTD lows, which is partly attributableto a sustained higher iron ore price which has climbed back to ~$105/t after two weeks ofminor decline. The seasonal deceleration in steel output from June-July peaks has been morepronounced in 2025. However, we now arrive at the typical seasonal trough for monthly steelproduction; normal seasonality is for a re-acceleration in steel output starting in January.

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